Corruption Scandal Threatens PM Kishida's Government

News image related to PM Kishida's corruption scandal

Alleged misuse of funds leads to 80% rise in public costs.

Olympus Scandal: Execs to Pay $529M for Massive Fraud

News image related to the Olympus accounting scandal

Stock value plummeted 94.9% post-revelation.

Principal-Agent Failures:
Betraying Public Trust for Private Gain

Nippon Steel Alleges Collusion in Blocked U.S. Steel Deal

News image related to Nippon Steel and U.S. Steel deal

Market confidence drops 84.7% amid political interference concerns.

Voters Rebuke Scandal-Plagued Government in Election

News image related to Japan election results and government scandal

Public trust in leadership plummets by 99.5%.

Meet Futarchy.

Vote Values, But Bet Beliefs.

Metric & Policy Design

Craft clear objectives and measurable metrics to guide your policies.

Market Creation

Launch prediction markets that forecast the impact of each policy option.

Decision Execution

Enact the policies that the markets indicate will deliver the best outcomes.

Outcome Evaluation

Compare actual results to forecasts and refine your metrics for next time.

Set KPI by Deliberation + Execute by Market = ∞

Maximise collective intelligence beyond typical bureaucracy.
Market as the engine, humans as the steering wheel

Futarchy Diagram

Idobata

AI-mediated Deliberation fix the KPI for Futarchy

Enhance decision-making with AI-mediated deliberation, leveraging collective intelligence to optimize KPIs and drive better outcomes in Futarchy governance.

Book DemoLearn more

Butter

Decentralized policy-making infrastructure

Implement market-driven governance with Futarchy's prediction markets, enabling data-driven policy decisions through collective intelligence and automated execution.

  • Transparent decision-making through prediction markets
  • Collective intelligence for optimal KPI setting
  • Market has super-intelligence
Start BuildingLearn more
Prediction Market
SUPERMASSIVE
DATA
20x TARGETS
5x TRAINING DATA
3x FEATURES

markets know better than experts.
it's time we let them decide.

Which Project Maximizes Superchain TVL?

Market Prediction (TVL Increase Score 0-100)

Simulation Controls & Log

Step: 0 / 60

Events Log

No simulation events have occurred yet.

Live Rounds

$1.2m
AI Model Thumbnail

Which company has best AI model end of May?

Community Poll

Google
81%
xAI
13%
OpenAI
5%
$2m Vol.
7,000 /AVAX
US Recession Thumbnail

US recession in 2025?

Economic Outlook

39%chance
$5m Vol.
7,000 /AVAX
Palestine Thumbnail

Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?

Geopolitical Event

12%chance
$256k Vol.
5,000 /SEI
NBA Champion Thumbnail

NBA Champion

Sports Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder
56%
Minnesota Timberwolves
14%
New York Knicks
11%
$2b Vol.

Of course, even in this form futarchy cannot be guaranteed to work; it is only an experiment, and may well prove inferior to other mechanisms like liquid democracy - or hybrid solutions may be best. But experiments are what cryptocurrency is all about.

- Vitalik Buterin